Eleven years in the past, Serbia was granted candidate standing for European Union membership. Negotiations on 25 of the 35 chapters of the acquis opened in 2014, however solely chapters 25 and 26 have been closed thus far. The primary covers science and analysis, the second training and tradition. Even that is due to not the efforts of the Serbian authorities, however to EU guidelines that permit its members broad autonomy in such issues.
Though the method has been on maintain for some time, Serbia remains to be formally on the street to European integration. The European Fee’s progress stories have develop into more and more damaging, particularly relating to rule of legislation and freedom of expression. However, in conferences with EU officers, Serbian president Aleksandar Vučić continues to emphasize Serbia’s agency dedication to the membership path. We could also be advancing on the pace of a decrepit snail, however the end line remains to be formally unchanged.

Graffiti in Belgrade, 2017. Picture: Marija Zaric / Supply: Wikimedia Commons
Phantasm of independence
On the newest since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, it grew to become clear that Serbia’s professions of dedication to European integration weren’t completely honest. Variations betwveen supposedly official coverage and what was taking place on the bottom had been not possible to disregard. However what actually made onlookers rub their eyes was that, together with Belarus, Serbia was the one European nation to not introduce sanctions in opposition to Russia. Vučić has introduced that the nation’s official stance on the warfare on Ukraine is impartial, figuring out full nicely that neutrality means being on the facet of the aggressor.
Vučić always complains that western nations are exerting unprecedented strain on him to introduce sanctions on Russia, however that he’s standing agency. ‘Serbia may change its place on sanctions in opposition to Russia, however solely when a literal sword of Damocles will not be hung over our heads’, Vučić proclaimed dramatically. It’s a state of affairs for which he has nobody in charge however himself. It was Serbia that made the dedication to harmonise its international coverage with the international coverage of the European Union.
The Serbian president pretends to conduct an impartial, sovereign coverage. One among his favorite mantras is that ‘international delegations is not going to determine the trail that Serbia travels’. In his clashes with opponents, Vučić steadily factors out that earlier administrations had been assembled by international ambassadors, whereas the pinnacle of the Serbian Progressive Social gathering conducts an impartial coverage. What Vučić means by ‘international delegations’ are the diplomatic representatives of the USA and EU international locations, not the Russian Federation, to which he takes a fairly completely different angle. Vučić has an in depth relationship with Alexander Botsan-Kharchenko, the Russian ambassador in Belgrade, steadily consulting him on issues starting from Kosovo to sustaining good Russian-Serbian relations.
Vučić’s pretensions to an impartial place often veer on the absurd. Utilizing one in every of his favorite comparisons, he instructed attendees at hustings in Požarevac in March final yr that ‘simply as within the Asterix and Obelix comics, there’s a small tribe of Gauls holding out and defending their state throughout the territory of Europe. And I’m proud that this little tribe are the residents of Serbia, our nation, conducting their very own impartial insurance policies.’
Regardless of official neutrality, the sympathies of the Serbian authorities typically develop into eminently clear. Final September, on the sidelines of a session of the United Nations Common Meeting, the international ministers of Serbia and the Russian Federation, Nikola Selaković and Sergey Lavrov, signed a Session Plan for the following two years. As UN investigators in New York had been submitting a report on warfare crimes dedicated by the Russian Military in Ukraine, the Serbian minister was signing a doc on cooperation with one of many mainstays of Putin’s regime within the organisation’s premises in Geneva. Whereas world statesmen isolate Lavrov as a pariah and member of a felony group, Serbian politicians flock to greet him. On one facet are the states of the democratic world; on the opposite facet is Serbia, flanked by Belarus and North Korea.
A compliant media
Vučić’s pretence of neutrality and independence turns into extra clear nonetheless when seen in opposition to the Serbian media panorama. The Russian propaganda channel Sputnik continues to function with out hindrance, whereas RT Balkan was launched final November. Each channels are sanctioned within the EU. Vučić responded to criticisms of him opening of a brand new outlet for Putin’s propaganda by interesting to the liberty of the press: ‘Some would love these of us who’ve a unique viewpoint to take a seat on our arms at house, they might stop us from talking out.’ Within the Serbian president’s vocabulary, ‘a unique viewpoint’ means endorsing Kremlin propaganda.
However it’s not simply Russian media that diffuse the Kremlin’s narrative; the vast majority of the Serbian media, below Aleksandar Vučić’s speedy management, have united to do the job. All 5 tv stations with a nationwide attain, the newspapers with the widest circulation together with Politika and Večernjih novosti, and plenty of tabloids publish content material that seems to have been edited for them by Margarita Simonyan and Vladimir Solovyov. The infamous headline ‘Ukraine Assaults Russia’, first printed by the tabloid Informer on the very begin of the invasion, was adopted by a joint propaganda effort in the identical spirit.
The media are dominated by the narrative that Ukraine is a nest of Nazis and that the West, above all NATO, is chargeable for the warfare. ‘Analysts’ seem day by day on nationwide tv, repeating Kremlin propaganda because the official model of actuality. Specialists usually have controversial pasts, to place it mildly. One common visitor on TV Joyful is Veselin Šljivančanin, a former Yugoslav Folks’s Military officer sentenced by the Hague tribunal to 10 years imprisonment for crimes at Ovčara, close to Vukovar in Croatia.
Šljivančanin’s expertise as a warfare felony actually appears to qualify him to touch upon navy operations in Ukraine. There isn’t any doubt that it served to safe him membership of the board of the Serbian Progressive Social gathering after serving his sentence. In response to Šljivančanin, ‘Nazism has taken management in every single place’; he regrets that ‘two Slav nations are preventing and killing each other’, though it’s the West that has ignited the battle: ‘NATO has seized each nation and Ukraine alone stays. That is Russia’s closing probability to halt them, for they’re on the gates.’
Movie director Dragoslav Bokan, chief of the White Eagles paramilitary group throughout the warfare in Croatia, is one other discuss present common. On one event, additionally on TV Joyful, Bokan expounded a view of the state of affairs that bore a exceptional resemblance to the slogans rehearsed repeatedly by Putin’s propagandists: ‘This warfare was launched in opposition to Russia by the West, not the opposite approach spherical.’ Bokan went on to make clear his place, claiming on TV Pink that ‘the West is engaged in a campaign in opposition to Russia, like Hitler in World Battle II.’
A Russian view of the world
However native contractors can not do the job of disseminating the Kremlin’s propaganda alone, in order that they complement the disinformation they dole out with Russian originals. On the forefront of the media portals transmitting a ‘Russian reality in regards to the world’ stands Iskra, headed by the celebrated movie director Emir Kusturica. One of many authors whose texts are usually translated is Andrey Korobov Latyntsev, a ‘candidate in philosophical sciences, Second Lieutenant’, who took half within the assault in opposition to Ukraine. In a single article, entitled ‘The philosophy of the frequent process’, the thinker in uniform frames the navy invasion as a ‘warfare of Being with Non-Being’. The folks in Ukraine, he writes, ‘appeared to be dwelling in Non-Being, after which – Being returned! Russian, unbearably Russian, luckless, dramatic, of 1 blood!’
When Russian troopers slaughter civilians, raze cities and villages, burn settlements, rape and loot, destroy faculties, church buildings, hospitals, cultural monuments, holocaust memorials, after they take part in genocide – this can be a unusual type of being, one harking back to the biblical Destroying Angel. If we comply with the logic of this philosophically inclined Second Lieutenant, the ultimate triumph of the Russian Being could be a nuclear warfare through which the entire of humanity perishes.
The weekly Pečat – owned by Milorad Vučelić, Slobodan Milošević´s former propaganda chief – has printed a whole bunch of articles pushing a Putin fan’s model of occasions. For instance, he stories the phrases of Colonel Common Vladimir Shamanov, a member of the Russian Duma who sees the creation of a territorial defence in Ukraine as ‘a felony, and actually inhuman determination’, one which confirms Putin’s assertion that the Ukrainian authorities is ‘a gang of junkies and Nazis’. The Ukrainians have the cheek to defend themselves from a fraternal Russian military killing their civilian inhabitants, flattening their cities and pulverising their nation? How dare they! The diploma to which Russian propagandists really feel at house in Serbia is sufficiently illustrated by the actual fact the RT Balkan has printed an commercial searching for volunteers for Yevgeny Prigozhin’s paramilitary Wagner Group.
However it’s not solely the media that’s contaminated by the virus of Putinophilia; broad sections of Serbian society are in thrall to the Kremlin’s view of the world. Demonstrations in help of Russia have been held in Belgrade on a number of events, with demonstrators scrawling the letter ‘Z’ on the streets. In contrast to Vučić, who claims to be impartial, the rightwing opposition doesn’t try to cover its allegiance to Russia. A substantial variety of Bishops of the Serbian Orthodox Church have publicly expressed their adoration for Vladimir Putin, who they consider is the protector of Orthodox Christianity.
A gaggle of public figures launched a petition in opposition to the introduction of sanctions in opposition to Russia, together with Matija Bećković, Kosta Čavoški, Ljubodrag Dimić and Vasilije Krestić, all members of the Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Orthodox bishops Irinej Bulović and David Perović, the movie director Emir Kusturica, Serbia’s former ambassador to Russia Slavenko Terzić, college professors Milo Lompar and Miloš Ković, and over 200 others. The petition contained no point out in any way of Ukrainian victims, however the signatories expressed ‘utter solidarity with the Russian folks’ and provided them their ‘help of their decisive wrestle for the fitting to life, freedom, political, financial and civilizational autonomy and nationwide unity’.
This selfless propaganda exercise by political, mental, non secular and media figures has borne fruit, filling residents’ heads with a parallel actuality missing a lot relation to the actual world. In response to a survey by the Bureau of Social Analysis from February 2023, 71.8 per cent of Serbs consider that the nation ought to not introduce sanctions in opposition to Russia, the dominant opinion being that ‘anybody however Russia’ is to be blamed for the warfare in Ukraine.
The good protector
Serbia didn’t begin clinging to Russia on 24 February 2022. This has been a far longer course of. The unfold of Russian affect started when the Democratic Social gathering (DS) was in authorities (from 2008 to 2012) and reached its zenith when Aleksandar Vučić and the Serbian Progressive Social gathering got here to energy in 2012. It was then that Manichaean narratives started to flow into on a grand scale among the many Serbian media. The supply of all evil was now to be discovered within the West, human rights and liberalism, whereas Russia was the one barrier to globalisation and defender of Orthodox Christianity and conventional values.
The Kremlin performed skilfully on Serbian frustration at its navy defeat, and in regards to the worldwide response to the Srebrenica bloodbath particularly. Serbian officers have refused to recognise that what occurred in July 1995 was genocide, at greatest admitting that Srebrenica was a ‘grave crime’, within the phrases of the present prime minister Ana Brnabić.
In 2015 Russia blocked a UN Safety Council decision on Srebrenica condemning the genocide, drafted by the UK and supported by the USA and the international locations of the EU. In Serbia, the Russian veto was perceived as a significant diplomatic victory and Russia was portrayed because the protector of Serbia’s pursuits within the worldwide enviornment. This functioned as a further argument for an antagonistic relationship with the West. In ‘Srebenica: Russia defends a historic proper’ an interview with Nikita Bondarev printed in Geopolitika in August 2015, we learn that the West has a clear-cut goal – ‘to change the trail of growth of Republika Srpska and its orientation in direction of Serbia and Russia, and impose its whole subordination to the West’. The previous province of Serbia is handled not as an precise current state or a topic of pragmatic coverage, however as a mythic territory, ‘holy Serbian land’ or ‘the dearest Serbian phrase’, because the nationalist poet Matika Bečković wrote on the finish of the Eighties.
After Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, Russian affect on Serbia went into overdrive. Native admirers of the Putin regime started fostering hope of a closing showdown between Russia and the West, a breakdown of the worldwide order that might permit Serbia to relaunch armed battle within the area. These Putin followers have written a whole bunch, perhaps hundreds of articles on how they’re ready for the Russian emperor to declare warfare on the West, in order that we are able to lastly end what we started in 1991: liberate the Serbian lands, combine Serbian territory, and rebuild Dušan’s mediaeval empire within the type of Higher Serbia.
That each Russia and NATO are nuclear powers, and that there’s a probability that battle between them may deliver in regards to the finish of the world, is a minor element. The vital factor is that the hour of historic transformation is approaching. Vladimir Dimitrijević‚ an Orthodox Christian essayist and chair of the Coverage Fee of the right-wing Dveri celebration, wrote in a survey of Orthodox prophecies a few Third World Battle that ‘the way forward for your entire Orthodox world, upon which they wish to impose the rule of the Antichrist, is dependent upon the warfare in Novorossiya and round Crimea.’ It’s not his personal concept, however one adopted from the Kremlin ideologue Alexander Dugin, whose writings are usually translated and printed within the Serbian media retailers that see Moscow because the ‘Third Rome’.
Anti-liberal alliance
Russian propaganda in Serbia is not any alien incursion; it has no want to seriously change native outlooks, or to wrestle in opposition to a predilection for European values in the primary mental currents. The concept of Europe lives on the margins, within the occasional public thinker and the non-governmental sector, whereas the dominant line of thought is expressly anti-European and anti-liberal.
There’s a clear line of continuity operating by way of the resistance to European values seen over the previous couple of a long time. It was maybe greatest expressed by the previous president of the Democratic Social gathering and president of Serbia Boris Tadić, who by no means uninterested in repeating that we’d enter the European Union, however with our personal id. Translated into plain language, this meant that we wish to develop into a part of the European Union, however with out making any changes to our lifestyle. We wish to be a part of Europe, however we don’t wish to comply with guidelines alien to our being; we don’t need the rule of legislation, a separation of powers, a media freed from state affect, a free market; we don’t wish to abolish rule by celebration or our corrupt habits.
In fact, Tadić was not the only real begetter of this faculty of thought. Resistance to liberalism has been the keystone of most political manifestos in Serbia because the collapse of socialism. On the finish of the eighties, when the Berlin Wall fell and the Soviet Union collapsed, Yugoslavia and Serbia together with it threatened to develop into a part of the western world. A strong alliance solid from apparently irreconcilable ideologies noticed Slobodan Milošević as the one salvation. This course of was fantastically described by the essayist and translator Vuk Perišić in his portrait of Milošević ‘Demon Nacionalisma’, printed in his assortment Od Weimara do Vardara.
Though Milošević by no means recanted anti-fascism, he created an area for the rehabilitation of the fascists and Nazi collaborators Milan Nedić, Draža Mihailović and Dimitrije Ljotić, whereas his rallies, the collapse of political tradition and nationalist emotion had been textbook examples of the rise of fascism. His adherents included those that noticed in him the person who would revive the spirit of Comintern, tack to the East and unify Russophilia, non secular Orthodoxy, Stalinism and the Protocols of the Elders of Zion. This unruly family of apparently irreconcilable ideologies was united in hatred of human rights, the free market, civil liberalism, individualism and cosmopolitanism. It was this farrago that homogenised Serbia, as was stated on the time, within the late Eighties.
The anti-liberal alliance was by no means disbanded, however merely went on the defensive. Zoran Đinđić provided an alternative choice to the dominant political programme primarily based on the Higher Serbian concept of territorial enlargement and resistance to European integration. His concept was to desert imperial claims on neighbouring international locations and organise the state on western democratic traces, below the banner of ‘Serbia in Europe’. This genuinely pro-European course was a short one, severed on 12 March 2003 by Đinđić’s assassination. The deed was carried out by parts of Milošević’s un-disbanded regime, working alongside Mafia organisations and below the auspices of political forces that had no want to cooperate with the Hague or have Serbia be part of the EU. After Đinđić’s homicide, the European concept pale and conservative society sought a brand new chief to switch Milošević, lastly touchdown on Aleksandar Vučić.
Autocratic flip
Vučić has performed a double sport since turning into president. In his contacts with the worldwide neighborhood, he has dissimulated cooperation, swearing that his objective is Serbia’s membership of the European Union and promising to fulfil all necessities, from resolving relations with Kosovo to introducing the rule of legislation and attaining European requirements on media freedom, free elections, democratic tradition and minority rights. Domestically, nevertheless, he has achieved every thing inside his energy to take the state captive, to destroy fragile establishments that anyway didn’t mount a lot resistance, to show your entire nation into his celebration’s personal fiefdom, and to introduce a one-man autocracy. Therefore his reliance on the Kremlin. Vučić sees Putinism as his personal supreme however is unable to totally set up it.
If he may, Vučić would abandon European integration tomorrow and transfer Serbia even nearer to Russia, and even enter an alliance with Russia and Belarus, as Slobodan Milošević tried to do throughout the 1999 warfare. Half the opposition wouldn’t oppose him on this, nor the bigger a part of society that doesn’t regard Serbia as a part of the European household. To his chagrin, that is not possible, largely for financial causes. The majority of international funding comes immediately from the European Union, Serbia’s largest financial associate with over 60 per cent of commerce. Serbia has obtained over 3.7 billion euros from the EU by way of the accession programmes with the intention to strengthen the rule of legislation, reform public administration, defend the setting, and so forth.
The availability of non-returnable monetary help will proceed so long as Serbia formally stays on the trail to Europe. The nation may obtain greater than 200 million Euros a yr from Instrument for Pre-Accession Help (IPA) funding. This cash is supposed to equip hospitals and assemble roads and bridges, in addition to fund the development of latest municipal garbage dumps. A halt to European integration would ship Serbia into financial free-fall, with unemployment, elevated ranges of poverty and social unrest, and will finally result in large-scale fashionable discontent and the Serbian Progressive Social gathering’s lack of energy. That is the one motive that Vučić pretends to be on the street to Europe.
The ruling caste loathes European requirements, the rule of legislation, the safety of people, private freedoms and related western pipedreams. What Vučić and his oligarchs really need is Milošević’s Serbia, however with out the sanctions, worldwide isolation, empty cabinets, depressing wages and much more depressing pensions, black-market cash changers, petrol bought in plastic bottles and the opposite inevitable outcomes of an unhinged politics. The Progressive Social gathering wish to construct Higher Serbia with the assistance of European funding and funds. This model of the state unavoidably remembers Putin’s Russia, with a contact much less repression and a contact extra democracy. Most ludicrous of all is that the West has thus far performed alongside. The Serbian management even had the help of Angela Merkel for this paradoxical challenge.
In Serbia, ‘stabilitocracy’ has been remodeled into autocracy. Vučić has assumed management over probably the most distinguished and most generally learn media. The ruling celebration does deal with the opposition not as reliable political adversaries, however as an anomaly that should be excised from the social tissue. Demonisation of the opposition and any critics of the regime is a day by day prevalence within the state-controlled media. Any well-argued criticism of the federal government is offered as an assault on the president, additional strengthening the cult of persona developed by media propaganda and celebration officers. The MP Draginja Vlk has even gone as far as to talk of awarding Vučić a presidential mandate for all times.
Disaster of democratic tradition
Basically, there isn’t any democratic dialogue in any way; political debate is a chimera. Representatives of the opposition and significant public intellectuals are denied entry to the vital media, the place they solely seem as objects of obloquy. Since coming to energy eleven years in the past, Vučić has not had a single political confrontation together with his opponents, nor participated in any debates, though his media presence is inescapable. These are at all times solo appearances, limitless monologues on all potential topics, whose size even the loquacious Fidel Castro would have envied.
Incitement of chauvinism and open hatred of neighbouring international locations and peoples is an integral part of the editorial coverage of media linked to the regime, together with the rehearsal of narratives from the Milošević years. Cases of corruption uncovered by impartial investigative media are by no means resolved within the courts, as a result of the prosecution service can also be within the pocket of the ruling celebration. Chief prosecutor Zagorka Dolovac makes no public bulletins of her personal, nor does she assume it mandatory to clarify why there have been no instances introduced in opposition to members of the ruling oligarchy suspected of corruption.
Minorities combat for his or her rights with problem, particularly the LGBTQ+ neighborhood. A legislation on same-sex {couples} that might have legally established the rights of LGBTQ+ {couples} was blocked, with prime minister Ana Brnabić saying that with issues reminiscent of Kosovo on the agenda, LGBTQ+ rights may await some time. Brnabić is lesbian herself, however that is of no assist to the LGBTQ+ neighborhood. Final yr’s Pleasure parade was first prohibited, after which following highly effective exterior strain held in a smaller kind, below heavy police safety. Following strain from the Serbian Orthodox Church, classes about trans folks and gender transition had been faraway from biology textbooks for 13–14-year-old faculty pupils. The Church and rightwing teams use the vocabularies and arguments adopted from Russian propaganda of their marketing campaign in opposition to LGBTQ+ rights.
Though non secular communities are equal below the legislation, the Serbian Orthodox Church has a privileged standing. Lots of of tens of millions of euros had been paid out of the state funds for the development of St Sava’s cathedral in Belgrade and different church bills. In return for responding generously to any Serbian Orthodox Church request, Patriarch Porfirije usually helps Vučić and his insurance policies.
The Serbian president is the one man with any actual energy. He selects the cupboard, fixes the date of elections, chooses personnel for publicly-owned enterprises, places himself ahead as the one authority able to fixing the issues of each social group that lobbies the authorities. Formally there isn’t any presidential system in Serbia: supreme energy is vested within the authorities. However in apply the reverse is true.
Apart from the preamble that enshrines the fantasy that Kosovo is an integral a part of the territory of Serbia, the Serbian Structure is successfully a useless letter. Every time there’s any public dialogue of the violation of the structure being violated, it’s often concerning Kosovo. The cohesion of society is tried solely alongside nationwide traces, whether or not by way of the concept Kosovo should be a part of Serbia, that Montenegro is a quickly estranged state, or that Republika Srpska was the best victory within the wars of the 1990w, within the phrases of the nationalist creator and ideologue Dobrica Ćosić.
No person pays any consideration to the concepts inscribed within the Structure – as an example that human life is inviolable, that everybody shall have the fitting to free growth of their persona, to freedom of thought and expression, to data, to a good trial, to a wholesome setting, to freedom of political or some other type of affiliation.
Article 19 of the Structure of the Republic of Serbia states that: ‘Ensures for inalienable human and minority rights within the Structure have the aim of preserving human dignity and exercising full freedom and equality of every particular person in a simply, open, and democratic society primarily based on the precept of the rule of legislation.’ However for Serbia’s ruling oligarchy, for many of the opposition and the general public at massive, these are simply empty platitudes, copy-and-pasted from western prototypes.
Traditionally, we have now not had an excessive amount of expertise with democratic practices. It’s not so shocking then, that we formally set sail for Brussels, however tied up in Moscow.